Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002568 0.002739 0.002922 0.003135 0.003377 0.003644 0.003966
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.002202 0.002415 0.002656 0.002950 0.003308 0.003734 0.004294
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002056 0.002307 0.002603 0.002984 0.003476 0.004108 0.005018
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.001955 0.002235 0.002577 0.003038 0.003665 0.004530 0.005899
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001843 0.002136 0.002502 0.003013 0.003739 0.004799 0.006626
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001781 0.002091 0.002491 0.003066 0.003922 0.005255 0.007798
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001706 0.002023 0.002440 0.003055 0.004005 0.005565 0.008824
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001626 0.001944 0.002365 0.003001 0.004012 0.005745 0.009662
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001596 0.001926 0.002374 0.003069 0.004219 0.006325 0.011728
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001562 0.001902 0.002372 0.003117 0.004399 0.006898 0.014235
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001504 0.001840 0.002310 0.003066 0.004396 0.007094 0.015777
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001438 0.001765 0.002223 0.002969 0.004298 0.007058 0.016491
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001397 0.001726 0.002192 0.002965 0.004383 0.007491 0.019767
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001315 0.001623 0.002062 0.002788 0.004122 0.007042 0.018564
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001290 0.001603 0.002054 0.002816 0.004260 0.007627 0.023667
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001271 0.001591 0.002058 0.002863 0.004445 0.008407 0.032880
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001238 0.001555 0.002023 0.002839 0.004481 0.008785 0.041267
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001223 0.001546 0.002028 0.002887 0.004676 0.009747 0.068424
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001196 0.001518 0.002002 0.002877 0.004741 0.010316 0.107536
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001163 0.001479 0.001958 0.002829 0.004712 0.010534 0.154147
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001154 0.001477 0.001971 0.002890 0.004952 0.011962 2.340802
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001142 0.001469 0.001976 0.002933 0.005158 0.013442 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001114 0.001435 0.001936 0.002887 0.005126 0.013759 NaN